Part II

Evidence and Limits

What the archive establishes, what it does not, and where every number comes from.

The archive earns trust by what it discloses against itself. The canonical statement is the repository’s Evidence and Limits page; this page is the short version.

The series of record

The reported outcome series is a one-case-one-unit census: 595 decided cases (283 / 63 / 249 across three periods), with eighteen qualifying plaintiff-side judgments (10 / 0 / 8 by period; per-period rates 3.53%, 0.00%, and 3.21%). Counsel had appeared in every qualifying judgment: 18 of 198 (9.1%) represented cases ended in one, and 0 of 397 pro se cases did. The pro se share of decided cases rose from 60.1% to 75.9%. No aggregate trend is asserted in either direction. An earlier document-level analysis supported decline framings that the case-level census does not; it is superseded for outcome reporting and retained only as labeled pipeline output.

Reproducible versus judgment

Counts, rates, intervals, file integrity, and the release gate’s checks are mechanically reproducible from released materials. Whether the corpus is complete, whether each legal classification is correct, whether machine-coded labels are substantively accurate, and whether any observed pattern is causal all require independent judgment — no green badge establishes them.

Adverse findings, reported

Four preregistered results cut against the convenient reading, and each is reported where it occurred: a pre-trend adverse to sharp shock-attribution; an inconclusive case-mix selection audit; a subset non-replication disclosed rather than smoothed; and a coding field that failed blind validation and therefore supports no reported analysis. The specifics — with their numbers, which live in the ledgered sources rather than on this page — are in Evidence and Limits and the appendices it cites.

Structural limits

Verify a claim yourself

Every registered claim has a route: start at the claims index, then follow the worked verification example. The methods and replication page routes to the full reproduction path.